Volatility Modeling and Forecasting of Istanbul Gold Exchange (IGE)

Modeling Gold Volatility: Realized GARCH Approach

F orecasting the volatility of a financial asset has wide implications in finance. Conditional variance extracted from the GARCH framework could be a suitable proxy of financial asset volatility. Option pricing, portfolio optimization, and risk management are examples of implications of conditional variance forecasting. One of the most recent methods of volatility forecasting is Real...

The Influence of Structural Changes in Volatility on Shock Transmission and Volatility Spillover among Iranian Gold and Foreign Exchange Markets

modeling and forecasting the volatility of tehran exchange dividend price index (tedpix)

modeling and forecasting the volatility of tehran exchange dividend price index (tedpix) the present research, analyses the forecasting performance of a variety of conditional and non-conditional models of tedpix volatility at the daily frequencies performance criterion namely the root mean square error (rmse). under rmse, results show ma250 and cgarch models had better performance between non ...

Forecasting realized exchange rate volatility by decomposition

We compare forecasts of the realized volatility of the exchange rate returns of the Euro against the U.S. Dollar and the Japanese Yen obtained both directly and through decomposition. Decomposing the realized volatility into its continuous sample path and jump components, and modeling and forecasting them separately instead of directly forecasting the realized volatility, is shown to lead to im...

Har Modeling for Realized Volatility Forecasting